Re: Dramatic Growth of Open Access - March 31, 2009

[<bill@multi-science.co.uk>]

"In the long run, Open Access will dominate publishing".

Possible. Certainly it's not hard to start a journal. But quite a 
bit of tenacity is required to keep a small journal going, with 
little support, tiny audience, for year after year, whilst 
keeping one's day job. Realistically, how many OA journals (apart 
from those that are just a wheeze to collect author fees) will be 
still be around in ten/fifteen/twenty years - perhaps the kind of 
time it takes to build up a corpus of work on a sub-sub 
discipline into something useful for scholarship; and how easy to 
find will be the papers published in those journals in five or 
ten years time?

Bill Hughes
Multi-Science Publishing


----- Original Message -----
From: <Toby.GREEN@oecd.org>
To: <liblicense-l@lists.yale.edu>
Sent: Tuesday, April 07, 2009 12:33 AM
Subject: RE: Dramatic Growth of Open Access - March 31, 2009

> A dramatic growth in OA journal titles is one thing, but surely
> what counts is the number of OA articles as a percentage of all
> articles. Last week at UKSG, Derk Haank of Springer estimated
> that about 5-7% of newly published articles were OA today and he
> expected growth to be modest. He also reckoned that OA's share of
> all newly published articles would stabilize at about 10%. Does
> anyone have any figures on the share of OA articles as a
> percentage of all articles to corroborate or challenge Derk's
> estimates?
>
> Toby Green
> OECD
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: owner-liblicense-l@lists.yale.edu
> [mailto:owner-liblicense-l@lists.yale.edu] On Behalf Of Jan Szczepanski
> Sent: 04 April, 2009 4:56 AM
> To: liblicense-l@lists.yale.edu
> Subject: Re: Dramatic Growth of Open Access - March 31, 2009
>
> The dramatic growth is also confirmed by Evalinde Hutzler in
> figures published in the german journal Bibliotheksdienst on page
> 170. Maybe she is also an "avowed advocate" but the German
> figures are in line with the development in DOAJ.
>
> In 2002 there were 9.574 red titles and 3.161 green titles and in
> 2007 18.314 red ones and 16.492 green ones. That is a 100% red
> growth and a 500% green growth.
>
> My guess is that in 2009 there are more free open access journals
> than commercial.
>
> Without doubt, in the long run, open access will dominate
> publishing.
>
> http://www.zlb.de/aktivitaeten/bd_neu/heftinhalte2008/Erschliessung010208BD.pdf
>
> Jan
>
> ____________
>
> Joseph Esposito wrote:
>
>> Open access is in fact growing much more dramatically than
>> Heather suggests. The problem is methodological.  Heather is only
>> reviewing sites and directories that survey a very tiny portion
>> of the universe of scholarly information.  Since Heather is an
>> avowed advocate of open access, it is not clear to me that she
>> would pursue a methodology that is counter to her interests.
>>
>> Joe Esposito