RE: Estimates of Conventional Journals, OA, and Repositories?

["David Goodman" <David.Goodman@liu.edu>]

Dear Sally and David,
 
An updated version will be available as soon as I can temporarily catch up
with today's deveopments, which may be a week or so.  I distinguish in my
update between different sorts of "archives".  Use figures are indeed
ambiguous--that's why I give no exact numbers; they might well be
different for citations than they are for downloads. I shall try to see if
I can distinguish them at least in my head.
 
Sally, I have taken account of the big deals. The long term big deals will
in my model result in the retention of subscriptions by some publishers a
year or two longer than would be the case otherwise. And then will come
the tipping point. There are many things that both commercial and
non-profit publishers could do to help their long term survival, such as
increasing efficiency to the point where prices decrease from year to
year. I can prove it possible: the American Physical Society has done
it--and with open access permitted.

Dr. David Goodman
dgoodman@liu.edu

-----Original Message----- 
Sent: Wed 7/28/2004 7:05 PM 
To: liblicense-l@lists.yale.edu 
Subject: Re: Estimates of Conventional Journals, OA, and Repositories?

THough I missed David G's talk, I wonder if there's another comparison
which should not be overlooked - relative use of journals in Big Deals?  
Judging from the evidence I've read from OhioLink, Academic Press etc,
making material available to users gives rise to increased use of that
material, irrespective (as you would expect) of whether the library has
paid for it.
	
Sally Morris, Chief Executive
Association of Learned and Professional Society Publishers
E-mail:  chief-exec@alpsp.org